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INFRASTRUCTURE








             After  the  resumption  of  tolling   suspended the toll collections
            operation from April 20, as announced   a. Concession extension granted –
            by NHAI, the traffic on roads has still been   26 days without any O&M Cost
            in the range of 40 to 60% compared to                                  The sector will
            normal traffic due to various lockdown   (ii)  Period thereafter when the  survive and serve
            measures and containment zones       concessionaires resumed tolling but
            restrictions across India. Some of   were able to collect less than 90%  the transportation
            projects might have seen good traffic   of average daily fee on account of  need of the
            increase in initial days of lockdown ease   the effect of force majeure.
            but that was purely caused by migrant   a. the extension to concession  country and more
            worker’s exodus from major cities and   period will be assessed based  investment will
            now the revenues are back to 50 to 60   on the losses in toll revenue
            % of normal figures.                    and would be proportionately   come through if
              Year 2020 is getting proved to be     adjusted against this extension,  the government
            worst year for the highway operators    provided  that   minimum       provides support
            as there has already been a slowdown    extension  would be  3 months
            in economy and then there was revision   limited to a maximum of 6     and takes long
            in axle-load norms hitting the industry.   months.                     term horizon to
            The traffic on roads sharply went down   b. The eligibility period will be
            causing huge losses to the tolling      minimum  3  months and         fight with COVID-19
            revenue. The year on year traffic on    maximum 6 months               Impact.
            roads from Q3 2018 has dropped from
            positive 9% to expected negative 1% in   c. Applicability of this circular is as
            Q3 2020. So almost 10% de-growth in     of  now for MCA concessions
            a 2-years’ time frame.                  and have not been extended to  There is still a demand from the
                                                    older concessions.          industry to consider December WPI for
             While the Government is trying to                                  toll rate revision (Due in July) as March
            monetize more  and more  toll  road   Cash Shortfall Loan: NHAI has agreed   WPI is fully impacted by COVID-19 and
            projects under TOT (Toll–Operate-  to provide a cash shortfall loan @ bank   this will cause losses to the industry
            Transfer) model and trying to attract   base rate plus 2% (currently 6.45%) to   which is already taking the hit of lower
            more investment in the sector, the   the extent of 1% of O&M cost plus debt
            current situation can take away all the   servicing  and principle  payment  cost   traffic and further support the O&M
            shine which was created in last TOT   reduced by the revenue collections. This   cost during the announced suspension
            bids, if the sector is not supported well   will help the companies immediate cash   period as a minimum.
            and in time by the government.    short fall issues and should solve the   Disclaimer: The views expressed are based on author’s
                                              problems of debt servicing and carrying   personnel industry experience and do not represent
             Recently the Government has      the regular O&M.                        views of any operating companies in particular
            announced a COVID-19 Relief Package
            targeting some long term non cash
            relief to the sector and this should help
            the sector to sustain for some time.

              The Government relief measures
            as per Policy Guidelines circular no.
            8.3.33/2020 dated 26th May 2020 can
            be summarised as:
            1. The force majeure periods have
               been classified under two separate
               events:

            (i) Period from March 26, 2020 to
               April 19, 2020 when NHAI had





         www.trafficinfratech-com-500653.hostingersite.com                                                            April-May 2020 / TrafficInfraTech  37
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